What is the Technological Singularity? Included herein is a discussion of my predictions from The Age of Intelligent Machines (which I wrote in the 1980s), all 147 predictions for 2009 in The Age of Spiritual How could monumental w. The tools, materials, and engineering employed for the creation of some ancient buildings are hard to believe. At list that s what Ray Kurzweil thinks. Called "Target 2015", this section is an attempt to do just this: expound on the most basic components of the future so that we may be able to delve deeper into the far future as we gain experience and wisdom. A question of timeline? In my new book BOLD, one of the interviews that I'm most excited about is with my good friend Ray Kurzweil. 2025: Computer . The Timeline of the Future combines real predictions about the future with fictional events due to happen in the 21st century. and then work backwards to arrive at an approximate timeline. Thought Provoking. or The Kurzweil Foundation if Kurzweil wins. I maintain however that prediction is impossible these days, as there are so many variables across multiple domains to consider. Ray Kurzweil - Singularity Hub '2019-2024 - 3D printing becomes a mainstream consumer technology' Medium term speculative 'Humanity is at a crossroads', Deep time related estimations such as '100,000,000 AD - The rings of Saturn have disappeared' More . Future Timeline is an established website featuring various predictions and timelines about the future on humanity and the universe.. The Singularity is Near: How Kurzweil's Predictions Are Faring If this is the case—Kurzweil gets the facts right, but the timeline wrong—it would be interesting to revisit these predictions in 2029 (if he is a decade optimistic) and 2039 (if he expected things to go twice as fast). I put all Kurzweil's future predictions on a timeline. Good proposed the possibility of an "intelligence explosion.". @neuralink and @elonmusk 's recent announcement adds significant credence to Ray's prediction and timeline. He is a businessman, multi-award-winning inventor, writer, Engineering director at Google, creator of the first complete OCR (Optical Character Recognition) system and some of the most well-known musical synthesizers in the world who has been awarded an Honoris Causa Doctorate by multiple universities … and also a futurist. "By 2050 the world had finally achieved a global economy that appears to be environmentally sustainable while providing nearly all people with the basic necessities of life and the majority with a comfortable living. Future Trends. 848. Platforms like Zoho CRM already help businesses optimize their customer service . Called "the restless genius" by The Wall Street Journal and "the ultimate thinking machine" by Forbes magazine, Ray was selected as one of the top entrepreneurs by Inc. magazine, which described him as the . Enjoy! However, at the time, I didn't realize that he was writing a sequence of 10-year predictions, so I didn't look at the corresponding predictions for 2009 or 2029. Impossible Ancient Stonework | Beyond our Imagination ... The central theme of this book is the idea that technology progresses exponentially, rather than linearly. Predictions range from: The short term, e.g. It argues that 'the Singularity' will occur in around 2045. - Imgur. "Over a decade ago, Ray Kurzweil predicted that our brains would seamlessly connect to the cloud by 2035. Raymond "Ray" Kurzweil, född 12 februari 1948 i Queens i New York, är en amerikansk uppfinnare och futurolog. How My Predictions Are Faring P a g e | 1 OVERVIEW How my predictions are faring In this essay I review the accuracy of my predictions going back a quarter of a century. "A scientific revolution is just beginning. Ray Kurzweil's Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years Basically, it would occur when a machine exists that's smarter than . 2106 votes and 16694 views on Imgur: The magic of the Internet. Ray Kurzweil is an inventor and futurist who has championed the Law of Accelerating Returns, claiming that computer technology is following an exponential path that will lead to the Singularity - a point in time when computer power reaches super intelligence and all things are possible. So by Ray's personal standard his prediction timing of being correct on the . Although Ray Kurzweil's predictions suggest that in 2019 humans would have been able to have deep relationships with artificial personalities, we are still far from this moment. 852. These predictions are based on the progression of computing power - which has served Kurzweil well. And 2019 is one of Kurzweil's major markers in his prediction timeline. "So we will be producing about 10 26 to 10 29 cps of nonbiological computation per year in the early 2030s. share. 02020-02025 $2,000. $1,000 Josh M Levine Thomas R Sohmers. 2010: Computers become invisible. Recent news shows us that self-driving cars are on the verge of becoming somewhat commonplace. Future Predictions. Ray Kurzweil is arguably one of the people most often associated with the technological singularity timeline, but he's not the only one, nor the first to ponder this idea. kurzweilai .net. Ray Kurzweil. In fact there is a prediction listed on the Wikipedia page of Kurzweil's predictions that 10TB of computer memory will cost $1000 or less in 2018 - it's been removed now but the Wikipedia page previously linked to a 10TB drive on Amazon from 2016 which was around $600. imgur. The book's main theme is centralised around the prediction of when The Singularity will be among us. Ray Kurzweil; How Technology Will Transform Us. A major inspiration for me has been The Singularity is Near, by noted futurist Ray Kurzweil. 4M followers. imgur. Answer (1 of 5): I laud Kurzweil. Accolades. The first step to establishing a forecast is to look at the near future, ie. It's really hard to predict where we're going from the here and now. I discovered 'Kurzweil' long after coming to my own opinion that. I write about the future of science, technology, and culture. 15 years. Computing power will be so great that it will be impossible for ordinary humans (not augmented by technology) to keep up, and augmentation will be so common that the line between human and machine will be . Thought Provoking. 7y. A major inspiration for me has been The Singularity is Near, by noted futurist Ray Kurzweil. Future of death: Future of human population P7. I put all Kurzweil's future predictions on a timeline. 113 comments. In his singularity timeline , he predicts that the singularity itself is reached by 2045. 95% Upvoted. Everything from biology to nanotech, computing, the . And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future. 4M followers. Futurism — October, 2015 . For example, the prediction of the point at which "aggregate global computer power pulling even with, and then surpassing, aggregate global human brain power" Trending Memes. Epoch 5 is where the Singularity will begin. Ray is also amazing at predicting a lot more beyond just AI. 5.30.2017 1:53 AM. Posted by 3 years ago. More . Motherboard has called Ray Kurzweil "a prophet of both techno-doom and techno-salvation." With a little wiggle room given to the timelines the author, inventor, computer scientist, futurist . I put all Kurzweil's future predictions on a timeline. In our predictions last December, we identified three startups in particular as likely acquisition targets. The 22nd and 23rd centuries, for example, have barely been touched upon. Top 20 predictions from Kurzweil - Future Technologies We live in the most "interesting" period mankind has ever known. 2106 votes and 16694 views on Imgur: The magic of the Internet. The graphs have remained spot-on. Sidebar: Timeline: The Future According to Ray Kurzweil. It is also important to note that once a computer does achieve a human level of intelligence, it will necessarily soar past it. . It has the potential to create an era of . Dec 6, 2016 - Future Timeline | Latest Predictions | Technology | Singularity | 2020 | 2050 | 2100 | 2150 | 2200 | 21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century . I am a big believer in Rehearsing the Future instead, steering it to places that are truly fascinating. Page 4 of 9 - How accurate are Ray Kurzweil's predictions? Totally. Last month the community blog LessWrong took a look at how accurate Kurzweil's predictions turned out to be: This was a follow up to a previous assessment about his predictions about 2009, which showed a mixed bag, roughly evenly divided between right and wrong, which I'd found pretty good for 10 . This is according to experts such as Ray Kurzweil, the futurist with a better than 80% accuracy rate (so far), who predicts that artificial intelligence will . Ray Kurzweil is famous for his vision and prediction of a Technological Singularity by 2049 Although whenever Ray predicts a date like 2049, based on Kurzweil's own past reviews of his predictions, he gives his predictions ten years late or early to develop. There are futurists who explore our possibilities (Ray Kurzweil, Michio Kaku). The media is constantly making new future predictions and projections. Share Why Ray Kurzweil's Predictions Are Right 86% of the Time on Facebook . . Answer (1 of 3): In The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), Kurzweil predicted that the life expectancy would reach about 100 in 2019 and 120 in 2029, and that by then, its rate of increase would exceed 1 year per year (therefore, anyone living until then can live forever if they choose, since thei. These are tech predictions only, because politics are totally unpredictable. Welcome to the 2020s! Ray Kurzweil på Nobel Week Dialogue, 2015. The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near. No multi-billion-dollar acquisitions occurred in the world of AI chips in 2021. Culture related predictions due to make an impact in 2045 include: List of future legal precedents tomorrow's courts will judge: Future of law P5. There are video games set in the future (Starcraft, Halo). I don't think he's wrong in terms of his high level view on where our technology is going, just a few decades on the early side - which is unfortunate for those of us who will age to . Top 20 predictions from Kurzweil - Future Technologies We live in the most "interesting" period mankind has ever known. I write about the future of science, technology, and culture. The central theme of this book is the idea that technology progresses exponentially, rather than linearly. He s the author of 5 bestsellers and holds a variety of awards and honors. 135-136.Penguin Group, 2005. Adoption & political rulings sometimes cause delays though, so you're totally right. In short, The Singularity is an advanced Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is not limited to a biological anatomy. Ray's predictions for the next 25 years. Posted on September 26, 2016 by Greg Swan in Artificial Intelligence. In 1999, Ray Kurzweil made predictions about what the world would be like 20 years in the future. He has made 147 predictions since the 1990's and has maintained an astonishing 86% accuracy rate. Similarly, Louis Rosenberg , PhD, inventor, and CEO and Chief Scientist of unanimous AI, has this to say about the timeframe of the singularity: Ray Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009 Were Mostly Inaccurate. This article is more than 9 years old. The graphs have remained spot-on. My interest in the issues . Kurzweil predictions on the future of technology and humanity. ), I gave him a ~20% hit rate [1]. jcranmer 4 months ago [-] When the topic of Kurzweil's predictions for 2019 came up 2 years ago (! report. Kurzweil famously predicted that the technological singularity — the crucial moment when machines become smarter than humans — will occur in our lifetime. Nanotechnology Predictions. Enjoy! Though retired as a practicing (materials and quantum) scientist, I've diligently followed the scientific journals and have developed 'hobbies' in advanced technologies such as energy and nanotech. This article is more than 9 years old. Ray Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009 Were Mostly Inaccurate. Updated at 18:30 EST to correct timeline of prediction to 2030 from 2020 Reverse-engineering the human brain so we can simulate it using computers may be just two decades away, says Ray Kurzweil . Updated at 18:30 EST to correct timeline of prediction to 2030 from 2020 Reverse-engineering the human brain so we can simulate it using computers may be just two decades away, says Ray Kurzweil . DEDICATION: Episode EF49 is dedicated to Ray Kurzweil, a futurist and an advocate of the transhumanist movement and the Singularity.Transhumanism is a theory predicting that human evolution is possible (and likely) outside of biological limitations. Ray Kurzweil's Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years. Though this may seem incredible, he has . Why 2020 is a rare window in time that's hard to see beyond. Ray Kurzweil. He s a computer scientist, inventor and futurist. Ray Kurzweil is one of the world leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a thirty-year track record of accurate predictions. Electronic circuits are already at least 10 million times faster than the . Retro Futurism. Kurzweil's book Spiritual Machines significantly impacted my life and changed my career trajectory…. Beyond our imagination! He s a computer scientist, inventor and futurist. Common misconception about Ray Kurzweil's predictions Post by Set and Meet Goals » Sat May 29, 2021 10:46 am Ray Kurzweils predictions are not 10 years too early, the predictions are 50% too early this is because Ray says computational power doubles every year where in reality computational power doubles every 18 months. Future Timeline | Latest Predictions | Technology | Singularity | 2020 | 2050 | 2100 | 2150 | 2200 | 21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century | Humanity . Kurzweil seems to be a very intelligent man with extreme predictions for our future. 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